Consumer Giants Shrink to Stay Relevant

Mei Nakamura

Unilever’s decision to merge most of its food business with McCormick is the latest sign that the consumer goods industry is abandoning an old idea that once seemed untouchable: that bigger portfolios automatically create stronger companies. Instead, many of the world’s largest consumer groups are moving toward a more selective strategy built around scale in a few priority categories rather than breadth across dozens of loosely connected brands.

The shift reflects a tougher operating environment for the sector. The pricing power that helped consumer giants through the post pandemic inflation surge is fading, while growth in major markets such as China has slowed. At the same time, investors are demanding better returns from companies that can no longer rely on simply owning more brands in more countries to keep expanding. In that environment, conglomerate complexity is starting to look less like a strength and more like a drag.

The Unilever McCormick transaction therefore stands out for what it says about the industry’s new playbook. The issue is no longer how many categories a company can touch. The question is where it has the right to win, the pricing power to defend margins, and the relevance to keep consumers and shareholders engaged.

From broad portfolios to narrower power categories

The emerging logic is straightforward. Companies are increasingly shedding lower margin, more complicated businesses so they can concentrate capital and management attention on categories where they already hold strong brand positions. In Unilever’s case, that means moving further away from food and more decisively toward health, beauty, and personal care, where labels such as Dove, Dermalogica, and TRESemmé offer stronger growth potential.

The sale of most of its food division follows another major portfolio decision made last year, when Unilever spun off its ice cream business into Magnum, creating a standalone company built around a more focused category strategy. Together, those steps show that Unilever is no longer trying to be equally broad across food, ice cream, and personal care. It is making a deliberate choice about where future growth is more likely to come from.

McCormick, by contrast, is using the same transaction to deepen its position in food adjacent categories it already understands. The combination would strengthen its portfolio in condiments, seasonings, and pantry staples, extending an existing strategy rather than creating a scattered new empire. That asymmetry is what makes the deal revealing. One side is narrowing to sharpen its growth profile, while the other is expanding within a field where it already has credibility.

The old safe haven model is losing force

For decades, large consumer goods companies were treated by investors as dependable, almost bond like businesses. They offered steady cash flow, strong distribution, and resilient brands that could hold up through economic cycles. But that status is now being challenged by weaker volume growth and a market environment that no longer automatically rewards size.

One reason is that several of the old drivers of expansion have faded. The rise of the emerging market middle class and the extraordinary growth cycle once associated with China no longer provide the same powerful tailwind. Without those structural supports, companies are finding organic growth harder to sustain, especially in categories where they do not hold a clear leadership position.

That reality is changing the way executives and investors think about scale. If growth is harder to find, then every category must justify its place in the portfolio. Businesses that add complexity without clear competitive advantage increasingly look expendable, particularly when capital markets are rewarding clearer strategies and stronger margins.

M&A becomes a tool for sharper positioning

As organic growth becomes more difficult, mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures are taking on a new role. The goal is no longer simply to get bigger. It is to become more dominant in specific categories. That is why dealmaking in the sector increasingly reflects what some advisers describe as targeted scale: building leadership in a narrower set of markets where a company has a stronger claim to outperform.

The pattern is visible well beyond Unilever and McCormick. Nestlé has also said it plans to exit ice cream to concentrate more heavily on portfolios led by its strongest brands. Kimberly Clark and Kenvue have explored combinations aimed at building stronger positions in categories with better growth and margin potential. Mars’ acquisition of Kellanova, cleared by European regulators in December, is another example of a company leaning into snack focused concentration rather than generic diversification.

These moves show how sector leaders are redefining what successful scale looks like. The focus is shifting from geographic spread and portfolio breadth to depth in categories where brands can hold shelf space, pricing power, and consumer loyalty more effectively.

Private labels are shrinking the room for weak positions

Another reason for the strategic shift is the rise of private label retailer brands. Lines such as Walmart’s Great Value and similar offerings from other chains are expanding steadily, putting more pressure on traditional branded goods. These products are often cheaper for consumers while still generating attractive economics for retailers, which makes them increasingly formidable competitors in categories where brand differentiation is weak.

That trend is shrinking the space available for consumer staples companies that occupy secondary or non strategic positions. If branded growth is under pressure and retailers are pushing their own labels harder, then holding a mediocre position in a crowded category becomes less defensible. The result is that many large consumer groups are now more willing to give up those weaker spots rather than continue supporting them with capital and management time.

A more focused portfolio can raise concentration risk, but it can also make outperformance easier if a company channels its resources into areas where it already has consumer relevance and stronger economics. That is the calculation increasingly shaping the industry. The age of the sprawling consumer conglomerate is not disappearing overnight, but it is clearly being challenged by a new idea: that survival and growth now depend less on owning everything and more on owning the categories that still matter most.

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